U.S. Hispanic Population To Triple By 2050, Asians Halve, Blacks No Growth
White Minority
USA Today:
The U.S. population will soar to 438 million by 2050 and the Hispanic population will triple, according to projections released Monday by the Pew Research Center.
The latest projections by the non-partisan research group are higher than government estimates to date and paint a portrait of an America dramatically different from today’s.
The projected growth in the U.S. population — 303 million today — will be driven primarily by immigration among all groups except the elderly.
“We’re assuming that the rate of immigration will stay roughly constant,” says Jeffrey Passel, co-author of the report.
Even if immigration is limited, Hispanics’ share of the population will increase because they have higher birth rates than the overall population. That’s largely because Hispanic immigrants are younger than the nation’s aging baby boom population. By 2030, all 79 million boomers will be at least 65 and the elderly will grow faster than any other age group.
The projections show that by 2050:
•Nearly one in five Americans will have been born outside the USA vs. one in eight in 2005. Sometime between 2020 and 2025, the percentage of foreign-born will surpass the historic peak reached a century ago during the last big immigration wave. New immigrants and their children and grandchildren born in the USA will account for 82% of the population increase from 2005 to 2050.
•Whites who are not Hispanic, now two-thirds of the population, will become a minority when their share drops to 47%. They made up 85% of the population in 1960.
•Hispanics, already the largest minority group, will more than double their share of the population to 29%.
•Blacks will remain 13% of the population. Asians will go to 9% from 5%.
•The gap between the number of working-age people and the children and seniors who depend on them will widen as boomers age. There will be 72 young and elderly for every 100 people of working age by 2050 compared with 59 in 2005. The gap would widen more if immigration slows because immigrants tend to be of working-age, the report said.
The projections are based on detailed assumptions about births, deaths and immigration levels based on recent trends. Those trends can change. For example, a new immigration policy could substantially limit the growth.
“Immigration has long-term consequences on the make-up of the country and the size of the population and we need to take those results in account when we make immigration policy,” says Mark Krikorian, executive director of the Center for Immigration Studies, a group that promotes limits on immigration. “Growing our population by 100 million more than we would otherwise is a choice. Immigration is a choice. … It’s all up to us.”
The ethnic and racial profile of the nation could change because of inter-marriage. It’s not clear how the children and grandchildren of multiracial and multi-ethnic unions will identify themselves in the future.
“We’ve assumed that the definitions and categories that are being used today will continue to be used in the next 50 years,” Passel says. “Fifty years ago, we didn’t have the definition for the Hispanic population.”
Adds Krikorian: “Will that category of who’s white be redefined? What is a non-Hispanic white?”
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Hispanics (mostly illegal immigrants) are already the majority in Texas . . . and the number gets bigger every day.
February 11th, 2008 at 3:29 pmhey, come on,
make love not war
February 11th, 2008 at 3:35 pmI say make them go home. the sooner the better. and build that damn fence!
February 11th, 2008 at 5:17 pmKurt - Not likely . . . in the current political atmosphere. We are screwed.
February 11th, 2008 at 5:32 pmThey are definitely the majority where I’m at in CA.
Weeeee! Everything is going according to plan….their plan.
February 11th, 2008 at 5:34 pmhttp://www.aztlan.net/
“The ethnic and racial profile of the nation could change because of inter-marriage. It’s not clear how the children and grandchildren of multiracial and multi-ethnic unions will identify themselves in the future.”
That’s easy. They’ll claim whatever gives them ‘victim’ status and the ‘right’ to demand reparations or preferrential treatment.
Look at Hussein. White mother, raised by his white grandparents (which didn’t stop him from living down to the stereotypes of black males) when his hippie mother wandered off somewhere, yet all anyone can do is gush over the ‘black’ candidate.
February 11th, 2008 at 6:31 pm
Stop all immigration, illegal, legal and everything in between. Stop all of it. Time to button up.
February 11th, 2008 at 6:41 pmThis is an issue too many people are ignorant about. In all truth we all live on the same planet and while problems occur when people try to take advantage of the benifits of living here you can’t just say let’s not let anyone else in the country. It’s even more troubling that we have so many worthless people here who depend on welfare for all their basic needs and the broken system that social security is. It’s socialism at work! The other thing is that while people worry about these immigrants taking all the jobs they don’t realize that a lot of these immigrants are doing the crappy jobs that no one else wants to do and they are more than happy to do it. The whole theory of let’s let nobody in is irrational and just because you were born here doesn’t automatically make you better than someone born in another country, you may be better off, but you are not better.
February 11th, 2008 at 8:54 pmVery few people are saying don’t let anyone in. What we are saying is, it must be controlled and legal! Illegals bring all sorts of problems with them such as crime, ignorance of our values and laws and their failure to assimilate causes unwanted changes to our culture. (read: language barriers) What they want, is money. They aren’t interested in living the American Dream. They want the goodies without the responsibilities that go with them.
Saying that illegals do jobs Americans won’t ignores the fact that they are paid wages an American could not survive on. How do they do it? Come visit me in SoCal. I’ll take you around and show you houses with 2-6 families living together likes rats in a cage.
The fact that we are born here certainly does not make us better, but it does make us LEGAL. Big difference. Society cannot function if only 80% of the people respect and obey the laws. It’s an all or nothing affair. We either have laws, or we have anarchy. Either way works but we’ve got to agree which it is.
February 11th, 2008 at 9:12 pmWhy should we make them leave?!?! I have always wanted to live in Mexico! I want my country to be a place where corruption is part of the process, where the rich live in the secured enclaves, where the cities smell like crap and have crime waves that are uncontrollable. I love seeing 50-100 lazy mexican standing around all day in case some lazy white person wants their lawn mowed or boxes moved. Yeah Americo whata great country.
YUCK. It is time we shipped them back home so they can enjoy the comforts of home!
February 12th, 2008 at 5:18 amAt Jeff:
Yes I completely understand what you are saying and agree, luckily I don’t live close to the border and deal with the same circumstances. I believe it should be controlled better also and maybe the immigration system needs more developed. I also understand that a lot of (mexican) immigrants come here to make money and just send it back to mexico, obviously our main problem is with Mexican immigrants who enjoy jumping over fences. Otherwise I’ve met people who are worthy of being here and have gone through the legal processes to be here. It just bothers me when people say, oh let’s just completely close the borders.
February 12th, 2008 at 8:14 am