Zogby: Clinton Surge In Texas And Ohio
The Swamp:
Zogby sees late Clinton surge in Texas, Ohio
Posted at 9:29 AM
by Frank James
Maybe that Clinton ad that asked voters who they want in the White House to take those 3 am crisis calls actually worked.
John Zogby, the pollster, has detected voter movement towards Sen. Hillary Clinton in both Ohio and Texas in the days just before today’s primaries in those states. Primaries are also being held in Rhode Island and Vermont but they’re not really where the main focus is.
While Zogby still sees the race between Clinton and Sen. Barack Obama in both states as close, given the surge he’s detected for Clinton among a broad range of voters in Texas and Ohio, it shouldn’t surprise anyone if she winds up winning both states today. Still, it might not be by the kind of huge margins she would need to catch up in the pledged delegate chase.
Here’s a passage from a release issued by Zogby International:
Pollster John Zogby: “In Ohio, there have been no dramatic changes. This has always been close, except that now the undecideds are up to 8%, and the increase has come from the Obama column. It looks like a combination of questions raised about Obama’s capacity to lead the military, his stance on NAFTA, and questions about ethics have shaved a few points off his support.
In an earlier posting, I reported that it appeared the Clinton ad didn’t have a significant impact, based on the results of a large, Internet focus-group shown the ad.
But Zogby’s survey suggests that it may have had enough of an impact to get Clinton past Sen. Barack Obama.
His statement continues:
“Clinton has not closed the deal yet, but she has picked up some additional support among women and older voters. Obama continues to lead in the big cities of Ohio, and it looks like Cincinnati is keeping him in this game. He has been working it hard, and has received the endorsement of the mayor there. But Clinton has opened up a big lead among Catholics – which, translated, means white ethnics.
“In Texas, Hillary had a slight lead in Sunday’s polling, which was enhanced by her lead in Monday’s polling, and those are the figures combined into the two-day rolling average of our poll. How did she pull ahead? She clearly increased support among white men and Hispanic men, mostly based on her late campaign focusing on her fitness for military command. She also enjoys strong support from white and Hispanic women. One thing that could prove significant is that much of Obama’s recent advances in the Houston area seem to have dissipated.
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clinton inc and limbaugh, a marriage made in a drunken stupor
March 4th, 2008 at 8:06 amWTH are you talkin’ about with the “clinton inc and limbaugh” crap? Do you really think that many R voters are not able to make their own decisions…get over it and find another messenger to attack like Tom Brokow or Howard Dean.
March 4th, 2008 at 8:28 amhey cowboy, that was sarcasm, but it was meant to give credence to Limbaughs push to keep hillary in the game.
March 4th, 2008 at 8:54 am“clinton inc and limbaugh, a marriage made in a drunken stupor”
Ha, good one Steve, Talk about coyote ugly! I imagine Rush waking up after a night of drinking and finding Shrillary next to him!!
We’ll see if Rush’s plan pan’s out as intended! One can only hope!!
March 4th, 2008 at 9:19 amAs much press as she has gotten from SNL I think this has a lot to do with the surge. You may not like her but her bits in SNL were very favorable. I guarantee voters see the candidates much more in such frivolous settings than they do actually listening to their speeches.
March 4th, 2008 at 10:41 am