Hussein Plans To Declare Victory May 20

May 8th, 2008 Posted By Pat Dollard.

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Politico:

Not long after the polls close in the May 20 Kentucky and Oregon primaries, Barack Obama plans to declare victory in his bid for the Democratic presidential nomination.

And, until at least May 31 and perhaps longer, Hillary Clinton’s campaign plans to dispute it.

It’s a train wreck waiting to happen, with one candidate claiming to be the nominee while the other vigorously denies it, all predicated on an argument over what exactly constitutes the finish line of the primary race.

The Obama campaign agrees with the Democratic National Committee, which pegs a winning majority at 2,025 pledged delegates and superdelegates—a figure that excludes the penalized Florida and Michigan delegations. The Clinton campaign, on the other hand, insists the winner will need 2,209 to cinch the nomination—a tally that includes Florida and Michigan.

“We don’t accept 2,025. It is not the real number because that does not include Florida and Michigan,” said Howard Wolfson, one of Clinton’s two chief strategists. “It’s a phony number.”

Wolfson said they intend to contest the DNC’s 2,025 number “every day,” as well as any declaration of victory made by Obama based upon that number, because it does not include Florida and Michigan.

In January, Clinton won both states by wide margins when Obama did not actively contest them. The two states were stripped of their delegates for holding early primaries not sanctioned by the Democratic National Committee.

Obama will not reach the 2,025 magic number on May 20. Rather, on that date he is all but certain to hit a different threshold—1,627 pledged delegates, which would constitute a winning majority among the 3,253 total pledged delegates if Florida and Michigan are not included.

“On May 20 we’re going to declare victory,” said an Obama senior advisor who asked that his name be withheld to speak candidly, adding that after those contests they will be “the ones with the most pledged delegates and the most popular votes.”

While the nature of that declaration of victory is “still developing,” in the advisor’s words, the Obama campaign contends that the winner of a majority of pledged delegates should be the party nominee.

“Senator Obama, our campaign and our supporters believe pledged delegates is the most legitimate metric for determining how this race has unfolded,” wrote Obama campaign manager David Plouffe Wednesday in a memo to superdelegates. “It is simply the ratification of the DNC rules - your rules - which we built this campaign and our strategy around.”

But the Clinton campaign’s insistence on counting Florida and Michigan would alter not only the overall delegate math, but the pledged delegate math as well. Because if the two states are included in the count, the total number of pledged delegates would rise from 3,253 to 3,566—which means the magic number for a majority rises to 1,784, not 1,627 as the Obama campaign asserts.

By hewing to that interpretation, the Clinton campaign would thus be able to raise doubts about a May 20 declaration of victory by Obama.

Since the earliest possible resolution of the Florida/Michigan dispute is May 31, when the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee will meet in Washington to address petitions from Michigan and Florida DNC members, the 11-day period between the May 20 primaries and the RBC meeting could produce a chaotic stretch where Obama claims to be the party nominee while Clinton argues otherwise.

Already, the two campaigns are gearing up for the battle.

“With the Clinton path to the nomination getting even narrower, we expect new and wildly creative scenarios to emerge in the coming days,” wrote Plouffe in his memo. “While those scenarios may be entertaining, they are not legitimate and will not be considered legitimate by this campaign or its millions of supporters, volunteers, and donors.”

“You can declare mission accomplished but that doesn’t mean that the mission has actually been accomplished,” Wolfson said.


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7 Responses

  1. Jeff

    “With the Clinton path to the nomination getting even narrower, we expect new and wildly creative scenarios to emerge in the coming days,” wrote Plouffe in his memo. “While those scenarios may be entertaining, they are not legitimate…”

    As long as they’re entertaining. As power hungry as she is, she’ll be an uncontrollable mess for a month after BO announces victory. My question is, does she drag her party with her into the pits of hell, contesting Obama’s win.

  2. sully

    “My question is, does she drag her party with her into the pits of hell, contesting Obama’s win.”

    *sigh* From your keyboard to God’s ears…..

    I expect The Obamanation will be learning rather quickly when and if he actually IS the Dhimmi nominee that his saying something is true does not make it true. And his tent revival style of delivering his empty rhetoric will provide the proper view of his completely empty resume’ (and tent) to everyone with an IQ greater than 80.
    Fainters excepted of course.

  3. Jeff

    “And his tent revival style of delivering his empty rhetoric will provide the proper view of his completely empty resume’…”.

    Oh, I couldn’t agree any more. You see, I believe Hillary when she says she’ll be the stronger candidate in November. That’s why I’d love to see her go down in flames, now.

    Any psychotic episodes she provides in the meantime will be a bonus as far as I’m concerned.

  4. sully

    We agree that Hilda would be the stronger candidate.
    But I’d much rather have HER tear the Dhimmis apart than listen to the incessant whining from Obamunists *IF* McCain does it.
    I very much hope she drags the little Obama prick by his ear all the way into the Dhimmi convention and asks “Are you *SURE* this is what you want?”

  5. Irish Gal

    Hopefully, he will have to declare the nomination after he gets his ass kicked in those last two primaries…

  6. sully

    The only reason to wait till May 20 is to not piss off the bitter typical white persons of Kentucky and West Virginia.

  7. Hussein Plans To Declare Victory May 20 « Thoughts Of A Conservative Christian

    […] Plans To Declare Victory May 20 May 9, 2008 — budsimmons https://pat-dollard.com/2008/05/hussein-plans-to-declare-victory-may-20/ Posted in B Hussein Obama, Barack Hussein Obama, Barack Obama, Hussein […]

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