US Naval Blockade Of Iran May Lead To War
Lets blame it on this single issue and ignore everything that Iran has done and said that led up to this decision since 1977.
they forget so much…
September 19, 2008
Gulf News.com
Dubai: A draft resolution calling for a naval blockade on Iran has been tabled in the US congress, in a move many analysts fear will be, if passed, a prelude to a military confrontation in the Gulf.
Officials in Tehran, meanwhile, have recently made more than one rapprochement gesture towards both the US and Israel to decrease the possibilities of a military conflict in the strategic Gulf region, Iranian analysts said. The possibility of war seems less today than it did a month ago, they added.
Yet, chances of war have not entirely diminished, and daily developments are still taking conflicting directions.
While Americans are busy with Presidential election campaigns, five former Secretaries of State on Tuesday urged the new US administration to open talks with Iran.
On the same day, the Iranian leadership announced that it had put the Revolutionary Guards in charge of defending the country’s Gulf waters, in what has appeared a hardening of its stance in the vital oil route.
And once again, tension between Tehran and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) rose on Monday after the International agency announced that Iran is stalling the UN investigation into its nuclear programme and defying international demands to suspend uranium enrichment despite UN Security Council demands.
“If the US wants to implement the (draft) resolution, it would have to go for naval blockade,” Tripta Parsi, head of the Washington-based National Iranian American Council, said.
“And the naval blockade, according to the International Law, is an act of war. So, it is a way to start a war without doing it with missiles and other means the American public are sensitive to,” Parsi added in an interview with Gulf News in reference to the tabled draft resolution number 362. So far, it has attracted the co-sponsorship of nearly half of the 430-member House of Representatives.
The draft resolution calls on the President to stop all shipments of refined petroleum products from reaching Iran. It also “demands” that the President impose “stringent inspection requirements on all persons, vehicles, ships, planes, trains and cargo entering or departing Iran”.
The fate of the draft, which was introduced last May, is expected to be decided in the coming few weeks before Congress finishes its legislative session.
Several legislators and some groups, including the Iranian-American Council, are lobbying to block it.
Apart from the house draft resolution, a sister draft resolution number 580 has been proposed in the 100-member Senate and attracted 50 cosponsors.
“Unless the US and Iran negotiate directly,” Parsi said, “The two countries are going to gravitate towards a conflict.”
Voices on street
Meanwhile, the Iranian public do want their government to talk with the US about specific issues and they are ready to support a deal on nuclear weapons, but not on Uranium enrichment, polls show.
The results of one poll show that, despite the “very negative perceptions that each public has of the other country’s leadership, the Iranian and US publics want their governments to talk to each other about certain issues, such as Iraq,” said a joint poll by two public opinion centres: Terror Free Tomorrow and WorldpublicOpinon.org.
Altogether 69 per cent of Iranians approve of Iran having talks with the US, while 21 per cent disapprove. A similar majority of Americans, 73 per cent, approve of US talks with Iran and 22 per cent disapprove.
The same poll shows that Iranians were willing to make concessions to the US on several issues in return for normal relations with the US.
These concessions would include an end to Iranian support for armed groups inside Iraq and recognising both Israel and Palestine as independent states in return for the normalisation of relations with the US.
Another poll, also released recently, concluded that Iranians are ready to support a deal committing the Iranian government to the renouncement of the development of nuclear weapons and allowing full inspections. Iranians don’t perceive their position as a contradiction, noted experts.
Iranians, analysts explained, feel that by not allowing them to develop a nuclear programme according to the Non-proliferation Treaty (NPT), they have been discriminated against, as with all the Muslim nations, while Israel was allowed to develop nuclear weapons.
The Indian and Pakistani cases are also other examples given to explain the Iranian public opinion.
The US initially voiced strong opposition to the two Asian countries’ nuclear abilities, but gradually came to accept them. Today, Washington has a special nuclear agreement with India, they added.
The Iranians believe the “US should basically come to accept them as a major regional power with a capacity to develop a nuclear weapons programme, (but) not an actuality (nuclear weapons),” Steven Kull, Director of WorldpublicOpnion, told Gulf News.
Simultaneously, Iranians are making gestures towards the Americans and Israelis.
Tehran, Iranian analysts believe, is attempting to change the negative atmosphere in the region created by the crisis over its nuclear program. “For the first time in three decades,” said the prominent Iranian analyst Seed Laylaz, “President Ahmadinejad announced recently that if the US wants to open a consulate in Iran, it would be fine.”
Fighting talk
Opening a US interest section in Tehran is an option under discussion among American politicians, noted experts. Moreover, Iran’s Vice-President Esfandiar Rahim Mashaie, who is also a close aide to Ahmadinejad, said Iranians are “friends with Israelis”.
But his remarks were seen as overstepping the mark.
They have sparked fury among conservatives in Iran, and more than 200 MPs urged the president to take action against his aide.
Iran’s gestures have apparently had some success in reducing the tension. The most obvious sign is the fall in oil prices from unprecedented levels a few months back, analysts believe.
Currently, a barrel of oil is trading around $90 (Dh330), well below the level $147.50 (Dh542) recorded on July 11.
However, Iranian analysts believe that the Israeli government wants to make Ahmadinejad “as weak as possible”.
They consider recent threats of kidnapping him as merely for “local consumption during elections time in Israel”.
Ahmadinejad has threaten to “wipe out” Israel, a statement that has united many Western leaders against him.
“The situation is not worse than before,” Laylaz said. “But the war possibilities (at present) seem less than before.”
My cousin was aboard the Roberts as a newbee LTJG. He was awarded the Bronze Star for his actions aboard the Roberts in pulling fellow sailors out of the burning fuel below deck.
The reason the Thugocracy is still talking shit is because they haven’t been punished hard….yet… Smash their military and death cult terror machine…open up another front inside Iran and use Hizzie tactics against the RG.
Give them some pain. If the Iranian people back us up…fine…if not then inshallah bitches.
September 18th, 2008 at 2:01 pmCan someone more knowledgeable than I on such matters, give me a rough idea on exactly how quickly we could emasculate Iran’s military? 24 hours?
September 18th, 2008 at 2:03 pmId love to see the Iranian navy on the bottom, their costal defenses on fire, and their nuke facilities in rubble.
September 18th, 2008 at 2:04 pmTaming of the Persian Cat
The whole issue of conflict with Iran is about control of the sources of energy, oil and nuclear fuel. The efforts to monopolize nuclear fuel production started in 1978, when the Nuclear Suppliers Group tried to impose restrictions on the right of developing countries to enrich their own uranium, a right. Since Article IV of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty ensures access to peaceful uses of nuclear technology for non-nuclear weapon states, the technology for uranium enrichment must be permitted to all states under the current nonproliferation regime. Countries like Iran therefore, are permitted to develop their own enrichment technology for peaceful nuclear energy production. Iran has argued for an international nuclear fuel consortium to operate Iranian nuclear enrichment. Iranians assert that this international cooperative arrangement and IAEA oversight together will eliminate USA fear that Iran is attempting to use the technology to develop nuclear weapon.
The Global Nuclear Energy Partnership (GNEP) is a USA. GNEP-initiative monopolizes nuclear fuel production and waste management infrastructure.
Global Nuclear Power Infrastructure (GNPI) is a Russian initiative.
Russia will retain exclusive control of all sensitive enrichment technology.
Both GNEP and GNPI monopolize production of nuclear fuel. Any nation who would have nuclear reactor but can not control the supplier of nuclear fuel is not an independent nation. The case of Iran and Russia as supplier of the fuel demonstrates my argument. The Iranian problem for receiving from Russia fuel for Bushehr, Iran Nuclear Reactor, was co-opted by the USA forcing Iran to initiate her own fuel production.
September 18th, 2008 at 2:09 pmStMTraveler
Taming of the Persian Cat
———————————-
How ironic….
I had a dream last night about an evil persian cat….
It wouldn’t leave my children alone.
September 18th, 2008 at 2:20 pmBlockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade! Blockade!
September 18th, 2008 at 2:29 pmDon’t pay any attention to what they write about you. Just measure it in inches.AndyWarholAndy Warhol
September 18th, 2008 at 3:33 pmLast I checked, a blockade was an act of war. So if congress is saying establish a blockade, they are really saying we declare war. Which is fine. As long as they realize that is what they are doing.
September 18th, 2008 at 3:45 pmStmTraveler:
The whole Iranian question has absolutely NOTHING to do with fuel or fuel supplies.
Iran has stated unequivocably that they are willing to use nuclear weapons to realize their goal of another Jewish hollocaust. Repeatedly, their representative in Lebanon Nazrallah has stated that until Israel is destroyed the Mahdi will not return.
In order to realize this insane goal, Iran must have nukes. And Ahmedwithasmalldick has also made clear that he is the man appointed by his Allah to usher in the Mahdi.
In the meantime, Iran has sown the seeds of terrorism throughout the world. It enslaves Lebanon, kills GI’s in Iraq through Al Quds; aids the hajis in Afghanistan and in Waziristan. It is one of the worst state sponsors of terrorism in the world… a record began by the late assaholla Khomeni.
The fight with Iran has NOTHING to do with oil or the rational use of nuclear energy. It has EVERYTHING to do with the Mullahocracy’s apocolyptic vision of their Mahdi’s return.
In order to realize their vision, they have to so piss off the world that their Mahdi returns to save their asses from total destruction.
That’s what this is all about. The Iranian military-industrial complex MUST be destroyed at all cost.
Get a fucking clue.
September 18th, 2008 at 4:17 pmECM
I estimate about 17 minutes 37 seconds from takeoff to decimation.
It will happen.
September 18th, 2008 at 5:22 pmto: Dan(The Infidel)
September 18th, 2008 at 7:13 pmYou said: “Iran has stated unequivocably that they are willing to use nuclear weapons to realize their goal of another Jewish hollocaust.”
Where did you read this mis-information? Please, would you document it. It is not what I have heard. Iran dose not have nuclear bomb, Isarel does.
Hardball1911
Remember, the cruise missiles are kinda slow……
BTW, I signed up on your site and forum! I’ll be talking to you about some sights eventually.
September 18th, 2008 at 8:44 pmHardball1911
Went to your sight as well. Looks good. I just got into pistols and am starting to compete in USPSA. It is one of the most fun, challenging and exciting sports I have ever competed in.
September 18th, 2008 at 8:58 pm